Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Roma had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Roma |
| 55.32% ( | 23.33% ( | 21.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.58% ( | 47.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.36% ( | 69.64% ( |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( | 17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.89% ( | 47.12% ( |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.49% ( | 36.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.71% ( | 73.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 5-0 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 55.32% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 78 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 75 | 33 | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 71 | 31 | 40 | 68 |
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 64 |
| 5 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 63 |
| 7 | Bologna | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 62 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 60 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 59 |
| 10 | Como | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 48 |
| 11 | Torino | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 | Udinese | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Genoa | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 40 |
| 14 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 33 |
| 15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 33 |
| 16 | Parma | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 32 |
| 17 | Empoli | 36 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 29 | 56 | -27 | 28 |
| 18 | Lecce | 36 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 25 | 58 | -33 | 28 |
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 35 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 26 |
| R | Monza | 36 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 64 | -37 | 18 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
