Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Frosinone 3-0 Salernitana
Friday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Atalanta
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: Salernitana 1-3 Atalanta BC
Atalanta are hitting peak form as a long season nears its end, and even if they field a less familiar starting XI, the visitors are likely to leave Stadio Arechi victorious. Salernitana are Serie B-bound, and they may struggle to get any more points on the board. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Atalanta BC |
20.17% ( 1.06) | 22.88% ( 1.01) | 56.95% ( -2.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.38% ( -1.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
