

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 36.08% ( | 27.1% ( | 36.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.24% ( | 54.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.93% ( | 76.07% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( | 29.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35% ( | 65% ( |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.36% ( | 28.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.55% ( | 64.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% ( 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.07% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 2-2 @ 4.97% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0-2 @ 6.51% ( 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
| 3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
| 6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
| 7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
| 10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
| 12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
| 13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
| 16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
| 17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
| 18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
| 19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
| R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
