Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Salernitana |
57.52% (![]() | 23.9% (![]() | 18.57% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.73% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.81% (![]() | 53.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.25% (![]() | 74.75% (![]() |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.7% (![]() | 18.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.62% (![]() | 49.37% (![]() |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.2% (![]() | 42.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.87% (![]() | 79.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 13.3% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.29% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.59% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.4% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.98% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 57.52% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 7.83% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.07% ( ![]() Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.65% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.79% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 1.81% Total : 18.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |