

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Salernitana | 
| 57.52% (  -0.08) | 23.9% (  -0.02) | 18.57% (  0.1) | 
| Both teams to score 46.73% (  0.24) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.81% (  0.22) | 53.18% (  -0.22) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.25% (  0.19) | 74.75% (  -0.19) | 
| Cagliari Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.7% (  0.05) | 18.3% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.62% (  0.09) | 49.37% (  -0.09) | 
| Salernitana Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 57.2% (  0.26) | 42.8% (  -0.26) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.87% (  0.22) | 79.12% (  -0.22) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cagliari | Draw | Salernitana | 
| 1-0 @ 13.3% (  -0.09) 2-0 @ 11.29% (  -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.59% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 6.4% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.43% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 2.72% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.3% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.3% (  0.02) 4-2 @ 0.98% (  0.01) 5-0 @ 0.92% (  -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 57.52% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 7.83% (  -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.07% (  0.04) Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.65% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.79% (  0.03) 0-2 @ 2.82% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 1.36% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 1.15% (  0.02) Other @ 1.81% Total : 18.57% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 | 
| 2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 | 
| 3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 | 
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 | 
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 | 
| 6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 | 
| 7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 | 
| 8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 | 
| 9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 | 
| 10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 | 
| 11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 | 
| 12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 | 
| 13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 | 
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 | 
| 15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 | 
| 16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 | 
| 17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 | 
| 18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 | 
| 19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 | 
| R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 | 
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
