Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 2pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta2 - 0Cagliari
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Rakow
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Cagliari
Even though Atalanta have been bouncing between winning and losing, they should make it back-to-back wins for the first time this season against relegation-candidates Cagliari. Despite a fine recent record here at the Gewiss Stadium, Cagliari look likely to struggle all season, especially with no obvious goal threat, so another blank could be on the cards too. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 53.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 22.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Cagliari |
53.83% ( -0.03) | 23.77% ( 0.03) | 22.39% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.72% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
