

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 60.09% ( | 22.75% ( | 17.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.23% ( | 50.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.34% ( | 72.66% ( |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.49% ( | 16.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.75% ( | 46.25% ( |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.92% ( | 43.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.64% ( | 79.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 12.81% ( 2-0 @ 11.53% ( 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 3-0 @ 6.93% ( 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 4-0 @ 3.12% ( 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 5-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 60.08% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 2-2 @ 4.09% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 2-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 1.68% Total : 17.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
| 3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
| 6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
| 7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
| 10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
| 12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
| 13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
| 16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
| 17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
| 18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
| 19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
| R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
