Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.44%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.