Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Salernitana |
60.42% (![]() | 21.04% (![]() | 18.54% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.64% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.73% (![]() | 41.27% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.33% (![]() | 63.67% (![]() |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.75% (![]() | 13.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.98% (![]() | 40.02% (![]() |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.14% (![]() | 35.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.36% (![]() | 72.64% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Salernitana |
2-1 @ 9.95% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.71% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.6% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.54% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 3.33% Total : 60.42% | 1-1 @ 9.85% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.04% | 1-2 @ 5.05% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.87% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.73% ( ![]() Other @ 2.65% Total : 18.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 |
5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 |
6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 |
8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 |
9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 |
11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 |
12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 |
13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 |
15 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 |
17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 |
R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 |
> Serie A Full Table |