| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Lazio | 37 | 19 | 63 | 
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 15 | 63 | 
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 37 | 18 | 59 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 15 | 63 | 
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 37 | 18 | 59 | 
| 8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 6 | 59 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Atalanta BC | 
| 32.86% | 23.71% | 43.43% | 
| Both teams to score 61.56% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.65% | 40.35% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.27% | 62.73% | 
| Roma Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.89% | 24.11% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.6% | 58.41% | 
| Atalanta BC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.11% | 18.89% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.63% | 50.37% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Roma | Draw | Atalanta BC | 
| 2-1 @ 7.68% 1-0 @ 6.48% 2-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.86% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 9% 0-1 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 5% 2-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 2.08% 2-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.42% Total : 43.43% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 31 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 67 | 21 | 46 | 78 | 
| 2 | Lazio | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 28 | 61 | 
| 3 | Juventus | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 59 | 
| 4 | AC Milan | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 56 | 
| 5 | Roma | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 56 | 
| 6 | Inter Milan | 31 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 54 | 
| 7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 52 | 
| 8 | Bologna | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 44 | 
| 9 | Udinese | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 42 | 
| 10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 | 
| 11 | Torino | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 | 
| 12 | Monza | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 41 | 
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 40 | 
| 14 | Salernitana | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 33 | 
| 15 | Empoli | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 32 | 
| 16 | Lecce | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 28 | 
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 31 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 27 | 
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 26 | 
| 19 | Cremonese | 31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 19 | 
| 20 | Sampdoria | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 17 | 
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