The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Venezia and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Venezia 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
We said: Venezia 0-1 Atalanta BC
Both teams have been short of ideas in the final third over recent weeks, and that promises a low-scoring affair by the lagoon. More effective on their travels throughout the campaign, Atalanta can finally eke out a win and start to rebuild their confidence ahead of Serie A's final furlong. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.5%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 13.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Venezia win it was 2-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 13.47% | 18.04% | 68.5% |
| Both teams to score 54.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
