Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 60.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.