Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 47.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.