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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 25 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | -12 | 24 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 25 | 28 | 57 |
| 2 | Dallas | 27 | 11 | 42 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 25 | 5 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.71%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 36.81% ( | 23.46% ( | 39.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.78% ( | 38.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.5% ( | 60.49% ( |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( | 21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.22% ( | 53.78% ( |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.38% ( | 19.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.42% ( | 51.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 1-0 @ 6.43% ( 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.81% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0-0 @ 4.12% ( 3-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 4.63% ( 2-3 @ 3.61% ( 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0-4 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 3.25% Total : 39.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 30 |
| 2 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | DC United | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 18 |
| 9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Toronto | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | St Louis City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 23 |
| 3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Dallas | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 12 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |
