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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 15.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 66.75% | 18.17% | 15.08% |
| Both teams to score 58.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.87% | 34.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.99% | 56.02% |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.53% | 9.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.2% | 31.8% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.49% | 35.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.72% | 72.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 9.34% 1-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 7.6% 3-0 @ 7.34% 4-1 @ 4.48% 4-0 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 3.93% 4-2 @ 2.32% 5-1 @ 2.11% 5-0 @ 2.04% 5-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.57% Total : 66.75% | 1-1 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 5.01% 0-0 @ 3.36% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.17% | 1-2 @ 4.25% 0-1 @ 3.48% 0-2 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.73% 1-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.35% Total : 15.08% |
