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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
49.74% | 23.99% | 26.27% |
Both teams to score 56.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.6% | 45.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.27% | 67.73% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.68% | 18.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.59% | 49.41% |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.92% | 31.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.59% | 67.4% |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
1-0 @ 9.66% 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.45% Total : 49.74% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.69% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 6.65% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 20 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 20 |
3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 11 |
8 | DC United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
9 | Orlando City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 11 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
11 | Toronto | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 6 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 19 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 19 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
4 | Dallas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
9 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 |
11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 8 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3 |