Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
