Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
31.51% | 24.63% | 43.86% |
Both teams to score 57.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.86% | 45.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.51% | 67.49% |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.75% | 27.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.32% | 62.68% |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.33% | 20.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.74% | 53.26% |
Score Analysis |
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
2-1 @ 7.5% 1-0 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 4.76% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.56% 3-0 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.51% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-1 @ 8.88% 0-2 @ 7% 1-3 @ 4.78% 0-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3.11% 1-4 @ 1.88% 0-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 51 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 46 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 45 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 41 |
5 | Orlando City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 36 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 35 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 |
9 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 34 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 32 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 30 |
12 | Toronto | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 51 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 46 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 45 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 41 |
5 | Orlando City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 36 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 35 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 |
9 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 34 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 32 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 30 |
12 | Toronto | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 22 |