The 2023 MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Los Angeles FC in this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
28.11% | 22.48% | 49.4% |
Both teams to score 63.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63% | 37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.81% | 59.18% |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.61% | 25.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.8% | 60.19% |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.69% | 15.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.97% | 44.03% |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
2-1 @ 6.85% 1-0 @ 5.33% 2-0 @ 3.65% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.47% Total : 28.12% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 3.89% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-1 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 5.87% 0-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 4.03% 1-4 @ 2.76% 0-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 1.89% 1-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 4.01% Total : 49.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 68 |
2 | Orlando City | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 60 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 55 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 65 | 45 | 20 | 54 |
5 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 54 | 42 | 12 | 52 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 50 |
7 | Nashville SCNashville | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 46 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 41 |
9 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 40 |
10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 40 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 39 |
13 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 33 |
15 | Toronto | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 56 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 50 |
4 | Houston DynamoHouston | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 48 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 54 | 47 | 7 | 47 |
6 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 46 |
7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 43 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 43 |
9 | Dallas | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 41 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 38 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 35 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 26 |