Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.