

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | FC Utrecht | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.91%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 9.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.04%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Ajax |
| 9.02% ( | 15.07% ( | 75.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.22% ( | 35.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.15% ( | 57.85% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.42% ( | 46.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.83% ( | 82.17% ( |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.14% ( | 7.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.17% ( | 27.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Ajax |
| 1-0 @ 2.8% ( 2-1 @ 2.72% ( 2-0 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 9.02% | 1-1 @ 7.11% ( 0-0 @ 3.66% ( 2-2 @ 3.46% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 15.07% | 0-2 @ 11.83% ( 0-3 @ 10.04% ( 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 1-3 @ 7.67% ( 0-4 @ 6.39% ( 1-4 @ 4.88% ( 0-5 @ 3.25% ( 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 1-5 @ 2.48% ( 2-4 @ 1.86% ( 0-6 @ 1.38% ( 1-6 @ 1.05% ( 2-5 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 75.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 67 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 62 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 47 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 36 |
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 |
| 12 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Willem II | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 19 |
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