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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Groningen | 1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | Cambuur | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Feyenoord | 2 | 3 | 4 |
4 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 19.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.49%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
19.12% (![]() | 22.75% (![]() | 58.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.11% (![]() | 47.89% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.93% (![]() | 70.07% (![]() |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.9% (![]() | 39.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.18% (![]() | 75.81% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.82% (![]() | 16.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.35% (![]() | 45.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 5.94% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.27% Total : 19.12% | 1-1 @ 10.82% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.33% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.63% ( ![]() Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.75% | 0-1 @ 11.52% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 9.85% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.14% Total : 58.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 27 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 64 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 75 | 33 | 42 | 59 |
3 | Ajax | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 56 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 54 |
5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 49 |
6 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 42 |
8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 38 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 35 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 32 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 30 |
13 | Vitesse | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 27 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 27 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 28 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 24 |
17 | Groningen | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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