Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 61.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
