Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
