| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 | 
| 4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 | 
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 | 
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 | 
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam | 
| 57.53% | 23.53% | 18.94% | 
| Both teams to score 48.39% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.72% | 51.28% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.89% | 73.11% | 
| FC Twente Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.4% | 17.6% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.83% | 48.17% | 
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 58.73% | 41.27% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.2% | 77.8% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam | 
| 1-0 @ 12.61% 2-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 5.62% 4-0 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.56% Total : 57.52% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.52% | 0-1 @ 6.43% 1-2 @ 4.94% 0-2 @ 2.84% 1-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2% Total : 18.94% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 73 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 81 | 35 | 46 | 65 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 62 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 60 | 
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 53 | 
| 6 | FC Twente | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 52 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 45 | 
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 38 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 38 | 
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 36 | 
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 35 | 
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 32 | 
| 13 | Vitesse | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 31 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 30 | 
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 28 | 
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 28 | 
| 17 | Groningen | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 17 | 
| 18 | Cambuur | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 16 | 
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