

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | FC Twente |
| 42.04% | 25.24% | 32.72% |
| Both teams to score 56.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.53% | 47.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.32% | 69.68% |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% | 22.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.93% | 56.07% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% | 27.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.84% | 63.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | FC Twente |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% 2-1 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.04% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.22% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 76 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 |
| 3 | Ajax | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 63 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 61 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 58 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 38 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 28 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 16 |
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