Eredivisie | Gameweek 22
Feb 27, 2022 at 11.15am UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
Vitesse
4 - 1
NEC
We said: Vitesse 2-1 NEC
Vitesse will be buoyed by their progression to the last 16 of the Europa Conference League and with a win already under their belts against their rivals this season, we think that the hosts will edge out NEC to claim the bragging rights in the Gelderse Derby. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for NEC had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | NEC |
| 54.67% | 23% | 22.32% |
| Both teams to score 55.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
