

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.1%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%).
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Notts County |
| 40.28% ( | 22.71% ( | 37.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.59% ( | 34.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.68% ( | 56.32% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.24% ( | 17.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.55% ( | 48.45% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.78% ( | 19.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.09% ( | 50.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 1-0 @ 5.9% ( 2-0 @ 5.1% 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 4-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 40.28% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-0 @ 3.41% ( 3-3 @ 2.2% ( Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 1-3 @ 4.41% ( 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 1-4 @ 1.82% ( 2-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 3-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Wrexham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 116 | 43 | 73 | 111 |
| P | Notts County | 46 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 117 | 42 | 75 | 107 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 84 |
| 4 | Woking | 46 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 82 |
| 5 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 74 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 72 |
| 7 | Bromley | 46 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 71 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 67 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 63 |
| 11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 61 |
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 61 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 60 |
| 14 | Gateshead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 62 | 5 | 59 |
| 15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 58 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 57 |
| 17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 68 | 82 | -14 | 56 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 53 |
| 19 | York City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 51 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 50 |
| R | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 48 |
| R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 87 | -38 | 34 |
| R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 46 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 104 | -59 | 25 |
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