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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.08%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 23.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
55.08% (![]() | 21.56% (![]() | 23.36% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.53% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.98% (![]() | 37.02% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.79% (![]() | 59.21% (![]() |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.53% (![]() | 13.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.54% (![]() | 40.46% (![]() |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.11% (![]() | 28.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.24% (![]() | 64.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 9.71% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.8% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.49% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.23% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 3.76% Total : 55.08% | 1-1 @ 9.68% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.67% ( ![]() Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 6.01% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 3.3% Total : 23.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 24 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 20 |
8 | DC United | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 18 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 18 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 16 |
12 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 16 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 16 |
14 | Toronto | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
4 | Dallas | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 24 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 17 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 13 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 9 |