| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 62.44% ( | 21.01% ( | 16.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.46% ( | 44.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.09% ( | 66.9% ( |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.32% ( | 13.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.11% ( | 40.88% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.87% ( | 40.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.23% ( | 76.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( 2-0 @ 10.86% ( 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 3-0 @ 7.2% ( 3-1 @ 6.58% 4-0 @ 3.58% ( 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 3-2 @ 3% ( 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 5-1 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 62.43% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.01% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0-2 @ 2.29% ( 1-3 @ 1.39% ( 2-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 73 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 37 |
| 9 | Heracles | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 |
| 13 | Groningen | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 32 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 31 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 |
| 16 | Willem II | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 19 |
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