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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | FC Twente | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | FC Volendam | 1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Groningen | 1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 85.15%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 5.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 4-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.12%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Groningen |
85.15% (![]() | 9.51% (![]() | 5.34% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.97% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
79.1% (![]() | 20.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
60.64% (![]() | 39.37% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.64% (![]() | 3.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.22% (![]() | 14.78% (![]() |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.84% (![]() | 44.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.75% (![]() | 80.25% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Groningen |
3-0 @ 9.66% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.9% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.04% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.23% 6-0 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 6-2 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 4.67% Total : 85.15% | 1-1 @ 4.12% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 1.05% Total : 9.51% | 1-2 @ 1.68% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 2.45% Total : 5.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 78 | 28 | 50 | 79 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 84 | 36 | 48 | 71 |
3 | Ajax | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 82 | 34 | 48 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 33 | 31 | 64 |
5 | FC Twente | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 58 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 51 |
8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 42 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 41 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 38 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 37 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 58 | -20 | 35 |
13 | Vitesse | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39 | 66 | -27 | 33 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 29 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 28 |
R | Groningen | 32 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 18 |
R | Cambuur | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 16 |
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