Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 82.57%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for had a probability of 6.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.22%), while for a win it was 1-2 (2.05%).
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 82.57% | 10.53% | 6.9% |
| Both teams to score 59.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 80.9% | 19.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 63.18% | 36.81% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.61% | 3.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 85.13% | 14.87% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.04% | 37.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.27% | 74.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 3-0 @ 8.33% 3-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 7.38% 2-1 @ 7.15% 4-0 @ 7.06% 4-1 @ 6.84% 5-0 @ 4.78% 5-1 @ 4.63% 1-0 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 3.91% 4-2 @ 3.31% 6-0 @ 2.7% 6-1 @ 2.61% 5-2 @ 2.24% 7-0 @ 1.31% 6-2 @ 1.27% 7-1 @ 1.27% 4-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 4.3% Total : 82.57% | 1-1 @ 4.22% 2-2 @ 3.46% 0-0 @ 1.29% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.3% Total : 10.53% | 1-2 @ 2.05% 0-1 @ 1.25% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.49% Total : 6.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Cambuur | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | EmmenEmmen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 10 | Groningen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 | NEC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 |
| 17 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 0 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 |
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