Atalanta

2 - 1

Roma

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Roma had a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.