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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma logo

Lazio
1 - 1
Roma

Romagnoli (47')
Zaccagni (30'), Isaksen (45+1'), Pellegrini (63'), Rovella (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Soule (69')
Paredes (5'), Mancini (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A derby between Lazio and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 2-0 Lazio
Thursday, April 10 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawRoma
46.46% (0.29600000000001 0.3)25.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)27.63% (-0.283 -0.28)
Both teams to score 51.25% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.47% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)52.53% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.81% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)74.19% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41% (0.094000000000008 0.09)22.58% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.81% (0.141 0.14)56.19% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21% (-0.27199999999999 -0.27)33.79% (0.27 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55% (-0.296 -0.3)70.45% (0.29300000000001 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 46.46%
    Roma 27.63%
    Draw 25.91%
LazioDrawRoma
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.078999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.55% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.69% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 46.46%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.63% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.28% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.49% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 27.63%

How you voted: Lazio vs Roma

Lazio
26.8%
Draw
24.1%
Roma
49.1%
112
Head to Head
Jan 5, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Roma
2-0
Lazio
Pellegrini (10'), Saelemaekers (18')
Saelemaekers (37'), Dybala (71'), Paredes (78'), N'Dicka (90+5')

Gila (32'), Zaccagni (34'), Castellanos (41'), Rovella (54'), Dia (72')
Castellanos (90+5')
Apr 6, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 31
Roma
1-0
Lazio
Mancini (42')
De Rossi (22'), Mancini (55'), Celik (68'), Pellegrini (80'), Paredes (81'), Lukaku (90+3'), Lukaku (90+6')

Vecino (21'), Pedro (73'), Castellanos (75')
Jan 10, 2024 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Lazio
1-0
Roma
Zaccagni (51' pen.)
Castellanos (60'), Guendouzi (65'), Pellegrini (90+3'), Pedro (90+5')
Pedro (90+6')

Cristante (57'), Mancini (65')
Azmoun (90+10'), Mancini (90+11')
Nov 12, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 12
Lazio
0-0
Roma
Sarri (33'), Immobile (38'), Alberto (67'), Patric (74')
Mancini (18'), N'Dicka (31'), Lukaku (37'), Azmoun (87')
Mar 19, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 27
Lazio
1-0
Roma
Zaccagni (65')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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