Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1 - 1Roma
We said: Lazio 1-2 Roma
Lazio (25) and Roma (21) are both among Serie A's top four for goals scored in the final half-hour this season, so a late twist is almost inevitable in the Eternal City. These arch-rivals both need three points to aid their quest for Champions League qualification - so the game could open up, allowing the Giallorossi to exploit their foes' faltering defence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Roma |
46.46% ( 0.3) | 25.91% ( -0.02) | 27.63% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
