Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Como had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Como |
| 64.48% ( | 20.79% ( | 14.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53% ( | 47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.75% ( | 69.24% ( |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.16% ( | 13.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.79% ( | 41.21% ( |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.96% ( | 44.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.85% ( | 80.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Como |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( 2-0 @ 11.91% ( 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 3-0 @ 7.86% ( 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 4-0 @ 3.89% ( 4-1 @ 3.19% ( 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 5-0 @ 1.54% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 5-1 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 64.47% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.01% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.79% | 0-1 @ 5% ( 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0-2 @ 2.05% ( 1-3 @ 1.11% ( 2-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.73% |