Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma2 - 1Como
We said: Roma 2-1 Como
In the third of four straight home fixtures, Roma can edge out their ambitious visitors, who have invested heavily and now pose a threat to any Serie A side. The hosts have both found some rhythm up front and conceded the fewest goals this year, so grand master Ranieri should defeat relative rookie Fabregas. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Como had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Como |
64.48% ( -0.24) | 20.79% ( 0.14) | 14.73% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
