Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
1 - 2
Lazio

Chukwueze (84')
Gimenez (76'), Leao (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zaccagni (28'), Pedro (90+8' pen.)
Vecino (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 2-1 AC Milan
Thursday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lazio
Tuesday, February 25 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Lazio
49.54% ( -0.07)	24.56% ( 0.01)	25.9% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 54.08% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.84% (

48.16% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.69% (

70.32% (

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.53% (

-0.02)

19.47% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.67% (

-0.05)

51.33% (

0.05)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.15% (

0.06)

32.85% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.58% (

0.06)

69.42% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 49.54%

Lazio 25.9%

Draw 24.56%

AC Milan	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 49.54%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 25.9%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Lazio

AC Milan

63.2%

Draw

21.1%

Lazio

15.8%

Head to Head

Aug 31, 2024 7.45pm

Gameweek 3

Lazio

2-2

AC Milan

Castellanos (62'), Dia (66')
Rovella (39'), Zaccagni (64'), Patric (85'), Guendouzi (90+3')

Pavlovic (8'), Leao (72')
Fofana (20'), Terracciano (90+1')

> Preview

Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm

Gameweek 27

Lazio

0-1

AC Milan

Sarri (22'), Pellegrini (50'), Romagnoli (58'), Immobile (76'), Hysaj (90')
Pellegrini (57'), Marusic (90+4'), Guendouzi (90+6')

Okafor (88')
Florenzi (61'), Adli (70'), Gabbia (80'), Hernandez (84'), Leao (90+5'), Pulisic (90+6')

> Match Report

Sep 30, 2023 5pm

Gameweek 7

AC Milan

2-0

Lazio

Pulisic (60'), Okafor (88')
Leao (65'), Hernandez (83'), Maignan (86')

Marusic (51'), Romagnoli (64')

> Preview

May 6, 2023 2pm

Gameweek 34

AC Milan

2-0

Lazio

Bennacer (17'), Hernandez (29')

> Preview

Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm

Gameweek 19

Lazio

4-0

AC Milan

Milinkovic-Savic (4'), Zaccagni (38'), Alberto (67' pen.), Anderson (75')

> Preview

Form Guide

Bologna 2-1 AC Milan

Torino 2-1 AC Milan

AC Milan 1-1 Feyenoord

AC Milan 1-0 Hellas Verona

Feyenoord 1-0 AC Milan

Empoli 0-2 AC Milan

Inter Milan 2-0 Lazio

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	38	24	10	4	59	27	32	82
2	Inter Milan	38	24	9	5	79	35	44	81
3	Atalanta BC Atalanta	38	22	8	8	78	37	41	74
4	Juventus	38	18	16	4	58	35	23	70
5	Roma	38	20	9	9	56	35	21	69
6	Fiorentina	38	19	8	11	60	41	19	65
7	Lazio	38	18	11	9	61	49	12	65
8	AC Milan	38	18	9	11	61	43	18	63
9	Bologna	38	16	14	8	57	47	10	62
10	Como	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3	49
11	Torino	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6	44
12	Udinese	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15	44
13	Genoa	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12	43
14	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32	37
15	Cagliari Cagliari	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16	36
16	Parma	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14	36
17	Lecce	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31	34
18	Empoli	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26	31
19	Venezia Venezia	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24	29
R	Monza	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41	18
					> Serie A Full Table