Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
1 - 2
Lazio

Chukwueze (84')
Gimenez (76'), Leao (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zaccagni (28'), Pedro (90+8' pen.)
Vecino (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 2-1 AC Milan
Thursday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lazio
Tuesday, February 25 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Lazio
49.54% ( -0.07)	24.56% ( 0.01)	25.9% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 54.08% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.84% (

48.16% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.69% (

70.32% (

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.53% (

-0.02)

19.47% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.67% (

-0.05)

51.33% (

0.05)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.15% (

0.06)

32.85% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.58% (

0.06)

69.42% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 49.54%

Lazio 25.9%

Draw 24.56%

AC Milan	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 49.54%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 25.9%