Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 15, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan1 - 0Hellas Verona
We said: AC Milan 2-0 Hellas Verona
Although Verona have actually accrued more points on the road than at home, their San Siro curse is set to continue. Despite a change of management, Milan are still hit-and-miss - but they are rarely beaten on home turf by Serie A strugglers. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 68.04%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Hellas Verona |
68.04% ( 0.25) | 18.94% ( -0.12) | 13.02% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 49.69% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
