Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 2, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
1 - 1
Inter Milan

Reijnders (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

de Vrij (90+3')
Bastoni (53'), Dumfries (61')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Inter Milan.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A derby between AC Milan and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 AC Milan
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Monaco
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Inter Milan
35.46% ( 0.3)	25.6% ( -0.12)	38.94% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 55.53% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.52% (

0.55)

48.47% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.39% (

0.5)

70.6% (

-0.5)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.55% (

0.44)

26.44% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.38% (

0.58)

61.62% (

-0.58)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49% (

0.15)

24.51% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.03% (

0.22)

58.97% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 35.46%

Inter Milan 38.94%

Draw 25.6%

AC Milan	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.46%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.94%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Inter Milan

AC Milan

22.2%

Draw

15.1%

Inter Milan

62.7%

Head to Head

Jan 6, 2025 7pm

Final

Inter Milan

2-3

AC Milan

Martinez (45+1'), Taremi (47')
Mkhitaryan (51'), Dumfries (54'), Barella (72'), Bastoni (89')

Hernandez (52'), Pulisic (80'), Abraham (90+3')
Tomori (57')

> Preview

Sep 22, 2024 7.45pm

Gameweek 5

Inter Milan

1-2

AC Milan

Dimarco (28')
Mkhitaryan (19'), Calhanoglu (40'), Inzaghi (68'), Asllani (86'), Dimarco (88')

Pulisic (10'), Gabbia (89')
Fofana (38')

> Preview

Apr 22, 2024 7.45pm

Gameweek 33

AC Milan

1-2

Inter Milan

Tomori (80')
Hernandez (36'), Tomori (90+2'), Gabbia (90')
Hernandez (90+3'), Calabria (90+7')

Acerbi (18'), Thuram (49')
Barella (22'), Inzaghi (23'), Martinez (32')
Dumfries (90+3')

> Match Report

Sep 16, 2023 5pm

Gameweek 4

Inter Milan

5-1

AC Milan

Mkhitaryan (5', 69'), Thuram (38'), Calhanoglu (79' pen.), Frattesi (90+3')
Calhanoglu (72'), Frattesi (90+4')

Leao (57')
Thiaw (24'), Hernandez (61')

> Preview

May 16, 2023 8pm

Semi-Finals 2nd Leg

Inter Milan

1-0

AC Milan

(Inter Milan win 3-0 on aggregate)

Martinez (74')
Barella (79'), Martinez (81')

Thiaw (56'), Tonali (79'), Tomori (81'), Krunic (81')

> Match Report

Form Guide

Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 AC Milan

AC Milan 3-2 Parma

AC Milan 1-0 Girona

Juventus 2-0 AC Milan

Como 1-2 AC Milan

AC Milan 1-1 Cagliari

Inter Milan 3-0 Monaco

Lecce 0-4 Inter Milan

Sparta Prague 0-1 Inter Milan

Inter Milan 3-1 Empoli

Inter Milan 2-2 Bologna

Venezia 0-1 Inter Milan

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	38	24	10	4	59	27	32	82
2	Inter Milan	38	24	9	5	79	35	44	81
3	Atalanta BC Atalanta	38	22	8	8	78	37	41	74
4	Juventus	38	18	16	4	58	35	23	70
5	Roma	38	20	9	9	56	35	21	69
6	Fiorentina	38	19	8	11	60	41	19	65
7	Lazio	38	18	11	9	61	49	12	65
8	AC Milan	38	18	9	11	61	43	18	63
9	Bologna	38	16	14	8	57	47	10	62
10	Como	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3	49
11	Torino	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6	44
12	Udinese	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15	44
13	Genoa	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12	43
14	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32	37
15	Cagliari Cagliari	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16	36
16	Parma	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14	36
17	Lecce	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31	34
18	Empoli	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26	31
19	Venezia Venezia	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24	29
R	Monza	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41	18
					> Serie A Full Table