Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Jan 18, 2025 at 5pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
2 - 0
AC Milan

Mbangula (59'), Weah (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bennacer (61'), Emerson (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Juventus
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Como 1-2 AC Milan
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	AC Milan
40.28% ( 0.35)	25.74% ( 0.09)	33.98% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 54.77% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.66% (

-0.44)

49.34% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.62% (

-0.4)

71.39% (

0.41)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.8% (

-0.02)

24.2% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.47% (

-0.02)

58.53% (

0.03)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.25% (

-0.48)

27.75% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.68% (

-0.62)

63.32% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Juventus 40.28%

AC Milan 33.98%

Draw 25.74%

Juventus	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.28%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.98%

How you voted: Juventus vs AC Milan

Juventus

54.4%

Draw

26.2%

AC Milan

19.5%

Head to Head

Jan 3, 2025 7pm

Semi-Finals

Juventus

1-2

AC Milan

Yildiz (21')
McKennie (45+1')

Pulisic (71' pen.), Gatti (75' og.)
Emerson (79'), Pulisic (82')

> Preview

Nov 23, 2024 5pm

Gameweek 13

AC Milan

0-0

Juventus

Leao (26'), Emerson (67'), Fofana (69')

Gatti (27'), Locatelli (87')

> Preview

Apr 27, 2024 5pm

Gameweek 34

Juventus

0-0

AC Milan

Musah (45+1')

> Preview

Oct 22, 2023 7.45pm

Gameweek 9

AC Milan

0-1

Juventus

Reijnders (61')
Thiaw (40')

Locatelli (63')
Weah (52'), McKennie (67'), Gatti (71'), Locatelli (72'), Allegri (90+5')

> Preview

Jul 28, 2023 3.30am

Club Friendlies

Juventus

2-2

AC Milan

(Aggregate 2-2 | Juventus win 0-0 on penalties)

Danilo (33'), Rugani (48')
Locatelli (54')

Thiaw (23'), Giroud (39')
Thiaw (15')

> Preview

Form Guide

Atalanta 1-1 Juventus

Torino 1-1 Juventus

Juventus 1-2 AC Milan

Juventus 2-2 Fiorentina

Monza 1-2 Juventus

Juventus 4-0 Cagliari

Como 1-2 AC Milan

AC Milan 1-1 Cagliari

Inter Milan 2-3 AC Milan

Juventus 1-2 AC Milan

AC Milan 1-1 Roma

Hellas Verona 0-1 AC Milan

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	38	24	10	4	59	27	32	82
2	Inter Milan	38	24	9	5	79	35	44	81
3	Atalanta BC Atalanta	38	22	8	8	78	37	41	74
4	Juventus	38	18	16	4	58	35	23	70
5	Roma	38	20	9	9	56	35	21	69
6	Fiorentina	38	19	8	11	60	41	19	65
7	Lazio	38	18	11	9	61	49	12	65
8	AC Milan	38	18	9	11	61	43	18	63
9	Bologna	38	16	14	8	57	47	10	62
10	Como	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3	49
11	Torino	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6	44
12	Udinese	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15	44
13	Genoa	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12	43
14	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32	37
15	Cagliari Cagliari	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16	36
16	Parma	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14	36
17	Lecce	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31	34
18	Empoli	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26	31
19	Venezia Venezia	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24	29
R	Monza	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41	18
					> Serie A Full Table