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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 26, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Inter logo

Lecce
0 - 4
Inter Milan

FT(HT: 0-2)
Frattesi (6'), Martinez (39'), Dumfries (57'), Taremi (61' pen.)
de Vrij (16'), Inzaghi (31'), Taremi (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 4-1 Lecce
Sunday, January 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sparta Prague 0-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 74.35%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 8.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.57%) and 0-3 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawInter Milan
8.5% (0.4189 0.42)17.15% (0.314 0.31)74.35% (-0.733 -0.73)
Both teams to score 39.53% (0.828 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.65% (0.033000000000001 0.03)47.35% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43% (0.032 0.03)69.57% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.48% (1.022 1.02)55.52% (-1.024 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.81% (0.592 0.59)88.19% (-0.59400000000001 -0.59)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.86% (-0.187 -0.19)11.14% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.41% (-0.41199999999999 -0.41)35.59% (0.411 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 8.5%
    Inter Milan 74.34%
    Draw 17.15%
LecceDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 3.64% (0.108 0.11)
2-1 @ 2.35% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 1.07% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 8.5%
1-1 @ 7.99% (0.177 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.58% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 17.15%
0-2 @ 14.89% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-1 @ 13.57% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-3 @ 10.89% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 8.76% (0.129 0.13)
1-3 @ 6.41% (0.045 0.04)
0-4 @ 5.98% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-4 @ 3.52% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-5 @ 2.62% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.071 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.032 0.03)
0-6 @ 0.96% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 74.34%

How you voted: Lecce vs Inter Milan

Lecce
8.1%
Draw
6.8%
Inter Milan
85.1%
74
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Inter Milan
2-0
Lecce
Darmian (5'), Calhanoglu (69' pen.)

Gallo (31'), Banda (60')
Feb 25, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 26
Lecce
0-4
Inter Milan

Sansone (2')
Martinez (15', 56'), Frattesi (54'), De Vrij (67')
Asllani (38'), Mkhitaryan (63')
Dec 23, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Inter Milan
2-0
Lecce
Aurel Bisseck (43'), Barella (78')
Inzaghi (16'), Calhanoglu (30')

Gonzalez (15'), Piccoli (64'), Pongracic (74')
Banda (83')
Mar 5, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 25
Inter Milan
2-0
Lecce
Mkhitaryan (29'), Martinez (53')
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Lecce
1-2
Inter Milan
Ceesay (48')
Baschirotto (32'), Blin (82'), Colombo (87'), Hjulmand (90+5')
Lukaku (2'), Dumfries (90+4')
Brozovic (55'), Darmian (63')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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