Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Dec 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
0 - 6
Inter Milan

Rovella (40'), Zaccagni (80')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Calhanoglu (41' pen.), Dimarco (45'), Barella (51'), Dumfries (53'), Augusto (77'), Thuram (90')
Calhanoglu (24'), Bastoni (31'), Aurel Bisseck (44'), Darmian (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Ajax 1-3 Lazio
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Inter Milan
32.05% ( -1.07)	27.19% ( 0.06)	40.77% ( 1.02)

Both teams to score 49.63% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.33% (

-0.46)

55.68% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.18% (

-0.38)

76.83% (

0.38)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.83% (

-0.97)

32.17% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.35% (

-1.11)

68.66% (

1.12)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17% (

0.34)

26.83% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.87% (

0.45)

62.13% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Lazio 32.05%

Inter Milan 40.76%

Draw 27.18%

Lazio	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.05%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.76%