Champions League header

Champions League

Leverkusen logo
Champions League | League Stage
Dec 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
BayArena
Inter logo

B. Leverkusen
1 - 0
Inter Milan

Mukiele (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Calhanoglu (25'), Augusto (28'), Barella (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 St Pauli
Saturday, December 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Inter Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Parma
Friday, December 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawInter Milan
42.6% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)24.82% (-0.044 -0.04)32.58% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 57.5% (0.21 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39% (0.252 0.25)45.61% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.07% (0.239 0.24)67.94% (-0.241 -0.24)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (0.061999999999998 0.06)21.44% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (0.094999999999999 0.09)54.45% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (0.209 0.21)26.81% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (0.275 0.27)62.1% (-0.277 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 42.6%
    Inter Milan 32.58%
    Draw 24.82%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 42.6%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.82%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.57% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 32.58%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Inter Milan

Bayer Leverkusen
33.5%
Draw
24.3%
Inter Milan
42.3%
272
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2020 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
2-1
B. Leverkusen
Barella (15'), Lukaku (21')
D'Ambrosio (32'), Fonseca (80'), Eriksen (85'), Barella (90+7')
Havertz (24')
Sinkgraven (43'), Bender (49'), Tapsoba (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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