MX23RW : Wednesday, April 30 23:52:30| >> :120:9007:9007:
Leverkusen logo
Champions League | League Stage
Nov 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
BayArena
Red Bull Salzburg

B. Leverkusen
5 - 0
Salzburg

Wirtz (8' pen., 30'), Grimaldo (11'), Schick (61'), Garcia (72')
Andrich (65')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 1-2 LASK
Saturday, November 23 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Red Bull Salzburg

Salzburg's stellar beating of a 10-man Feyenoord side was not a sign of things to come for Tuesday's visitors, who are still flattering to deceive domestically and are at risk of a rude awakening in Leverkusen. Even with a handful of attacking talents missing through injury, Alonso's men should prove far too potent for Salzburg's young guns, and the Bundesliga champions have our vote to stroll to a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 20.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 1-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Red Bull Salzburg win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRed Bull Salzburg
59.2% (0.47900000000001 0.48) 20.61% (-0.169 -0.17) 20.19% (-0.307 -0.31)
Both teams to score 60.19% (0.1 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.33% (0.36199999999999 0.36)36.67% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.17% (0.391 0.39)58.83% (-0.389 -0.39)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (0.25 0.25)12.15% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.25% (0.523 0.52)37.75% (-0.521 -0.52)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)31.48% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)67.87% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 59.2%
    Red Bull Salzburg 20.19%
    Draw 20.61%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRed Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.9% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.97% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.99% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.64% (0.068 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.1% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.53% (0.043 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 59.2%
1-1 @ 9.32% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 20.19%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Salzburg

Bayer Leverkusen
90.5%
Draw
5.0%
Red Bull Salzburg
4.5%
179
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!