Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Nov 23, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
5 - 2
Heidenheim

Palacios (30'), Schick (32', 52', 71'), Xhaka (82')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Dorsch (10'), Honsak (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-3 Wolfsburg
Sunday, November 10 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 15.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Heidenheim
66.41% ( -1.8)	18.51% ( 0.72)	15.08% ( 1.08)

Both teams to score 57.02% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.14% (

-1.04)

35.86% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.06% (

-1.15)

57.94% (

1.16)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.97% (

-0.7)

10.03% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.91% (

-1.65)

33.09% (

1.65)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.37% (

0.77)

36.63% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.58% (

0.77)

73.41% (

-0.76)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 66.41%

Heidenheim 15.08%

Draw 18.51%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Heidenheim
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.22) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.13% Total : 66.41%	1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.51%	1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.21% Total : 15.08%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Heidenheim

Bayer Leverkusen

88.2%

Draw

8.6%

Heidenheim

3.2%

Head to Head

Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm

Gameweek 22

Heidenheim

1-2

B. Leverkusen

Kleindienst (86')
Fohrenbach (26'), Gimber (32')

Frimpong (45+2'), Adli (81')
Andrich (90+2')

> Preview

Sep 24, 2023 2.30pm

Gameweek 5

B. Leverkusen

4-1

Heidenheim

Okoh Boniface (9', 74' pen.), Hofmann (63'), Adli (82')
Palacios (31')

Dinkci (58')
Theuerkauf (37')

> Preview

Feb 5, 2019 5.30pm

Round of 16

Heidenheim

2-1

B. Leverkusen

Dovedan (47'), Multhaup (72')
Dorsch (64')

Brandt (44')
Dragovic (77'), Baumgartlinger (88')

Form Guide

VfL Bochum 1-1 B. Leverkusen

Liverpool 4-0 B. Leverkusen

B. Leverkusen 0-0 Stuttgart

B. Leverkusen 3-0 Elversberg

Werder Bremen 2-2 B. Leverkusen

Brest 1-1 B. Leverkusen

Heidenheim 1-3 Wolfsburg

Hearts 0-2 Heidenheim

Holstein Kiel 1-0 Heidenheim

Hertha Berlin 2-1 Heidenheim

Heidenheim 0-0 Hoffenheim

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table