Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 23, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
B. Leverkusen5 - 2Heidenheim
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-3 Wolfsburg
Sunday, November 10 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, November 10 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
13
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Heidenheim
Leverkusen have struggled for goals of late, and it is difficult to see them immediately returning to goalscoring form, but it is equally difficult to overlook their impressive home record. Given the hosts' resilience at BayArena, it would not be surprising if Heidenheim eventually succumbed to defeat against Alonso's side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 15.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Heidenheim |
66.41% ( -1.8) | 18.51% ( 0.72) | 15.08% ( 1.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.02% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
