

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 42.03% ( | 25.01% ( | 32.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% ( | 46.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.35% ( | 68.65% ( |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.97% ( | 22.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.64% ( | 55.36% ( |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% ( | 26.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.73% ( | 62.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 3-0 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.03% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 1-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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