

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin | 
| 40.25% (  0.04) | 26.68% (  -0.02) | 33.07% (  -0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 51.51% (  0.07) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.58% (  0.08) | 53.42% (  -0.08) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.05% (  0.07) | 74.95% (  -0.07) | 
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.94% (  0.06) | 26.06% (  -0.06) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.89% (  0.08) | 61.1% (  -0.08) | 
| Union Berlin Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.66% (  0.03) | 30.33% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.48% (  0.04) | 66.52% (  -0.03) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin | 
| 1-0 @ 10.63% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.53% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 7.15% (  0) 3-1 @ 3.82% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 3.2% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 1.29% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.08% (  0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.68% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.91% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.09% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% (  0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 9.43% (  -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.56% (  0) 0-2 @ 5.62% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.01% (  0) 0-3 @ 2.24% (  -0) 2-3 @ 2.02% (  0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.07% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 | 
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 | 
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 | 
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 | 
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 | 
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 | 
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 | 
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 | 
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 | 
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 | 
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 | 
| > Bundesliga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
