

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 40.25% ( | 26.68% ( | 33.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.58% ( | 53.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.05% ( | 74.95% ( |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( | 26.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.89% ( | 61.1% ( |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% ( | 30.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.48% ( | 66.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 4-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0-2 @ 5.62% ( 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 2-3 @ 2.02% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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