Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Aug 23, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK

Borussia M'bach
2 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Elvedi (59'), Kleindienst (85')
Lainer (90+13')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Xhaka (12'), Wirtz (38', 90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 17 at 12pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, August 17 at 7.30pm in DFL-Supercup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
33.83% ( -0.12)	25.04% ( -0.05)	41.13% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 57.13% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.73% (

0.18)

46.26% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.44% (

0.17)

68.55% (

-0.17)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.64% (

0.01)

26.36% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.5% (

0.02)

61.5% (

-0.02)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58% (

0.16)

22.42% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.06% (

0.24)

55.94% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Borussia Monchengladbach 33.83%

Bayer Leverkusen 41.13%

Draw 25.04%

Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 33.83%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.13%