Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
33.83% (![]() | 25.04% (![]() | 41.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.13% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.73% (![]() | 46.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.44% (![]() | 68.55% (![]() |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.64% (![]() | 26.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.5% (![]() | 61.5% (![]() |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.58% (![]() | 22.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.06% (![]() | 55.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 7.88% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.24% Total : 33.83% | 1-1 @ 11.78% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 8.84% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.81% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 90 | 29 | 61 | 75 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 66 | 35 | 31 | 67 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
4 | Freiburg | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 51 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 49 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 48 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 46 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 44 |
10 | Augsburg | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
11 | Stuttgart | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 41 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 39 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 36 |
14 | St Pauli | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 30 |
16 | Heidenheim | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 25 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 45 | 74 | -29 | 22 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 21 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |