MX23RW : Saturday, August 17 22:45:49| >> :120:12165:12165:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 12pm UK
Sparkassen-Erzgebirgsstadion
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 3
Borussia M'bach

Clausen (8')
Hoffmann (45+4'), Jakob (51'), Mannel (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Honorat (35'), Netz (52'), Plea (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFB-Pokal clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 Carl Zeiss
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Erzgebirge Aue 1-4 Borussia Monchengladbach

Although Borussia Monchengladbach were eliminated from the DFB-Pokal last term by a 3. Liga side, it is difficult to see it happening for a second consecutive season. Given the gap in quality between the teams, it would not be surprising if the visitors comfortably won on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 58.51%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue has a probability of 22.47% and a draw has a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win is 2-1 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.29%).

Result
Erzgebirge AueDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
22.47% (-0.735 -0.73) 19.02% (-0.306 -0.31) 58.51% (1.042 1.04)
Both teams to score 70.09% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.45% (0.60299999999999 0.6)25.55% (-0.601 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.37% (0.776 0.78)45.63% (-0.773 -0.77)
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95% (-0.176 -0.18)23.05% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.13% (-0.255 -0.26)56.87% (0.259 0.26)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.08% (0.422 0.42)8.92% (-0.4189 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.52% (1.008 1.01)30.48% (-1.005 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Erzgebirge Aue 22.47%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 58.51%
    Draw 19.02%
Erzgebirge AueDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 5.35% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-0 @ 3.02% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-0 @ 2.21% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 22.47%
1-1 @ 7.29% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 6.47% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 2.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.06% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 19.02%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.1% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 5.21% (0.047 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.97% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 4.84% (0.093 0.09)
1-4 @ 4.29% (0.14 0.14)
2-4 @ 3.15% (0.088 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.92% (0.111 0.11)
1-5 @ 2.07% (0.106 0.11)
3-4 @ 1.54% (0.035 0.04)
2-5 @ 1.52% (0.071 0.07)
0-5 @ 1.41% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 4.67%
Total : 58.51%

How you voted: Erzgebirge Aue vs Borussia M'bach

Erzgebirge Aue
0.0%
Draw
14.3%
Borussia Monchengladbach
85.7%
7
rhs 2.0
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