

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Newport County win it was 1-0 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers | 
| 23.57% (  -0.71) | 25.43% (  0.8) | 51% (  -0.09) | 
| Both teams to score 49.09% (  -3.17) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.42% (  -3.8) | 53.58% (  3.8) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.91% (  -3.3) | 75.09% (  3.3) | 
| Newport County Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.16% (  -2.74) | 37.83% (  2.74) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.39% (  -2.76) | 74.61% (  2.76) | 
| Doncaster Rovers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.97% (  -1.55) | 21.03% (  1.55) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.18% (  -2.47) | 53.81% (  2.47) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Newport County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers | 
| 1-0 @ 7.73% (  0.57) 2-1 @ 5.86% (  -0.27) 2-0 @ 3.76% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 1.9% (  -0.24) 3-2 @ 1.48% (  -0.27) 3-0 @ 1.22% (  -0.09) Other @ 1.62% Total : 23.57% | 1-1 @ 12.05% (  0.34) 0-0 @ 7.96% (  1.12) 2-2 @ 4.57% (  -0.45) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 12.4% (  1.22) 0-2 @ 9.67% (  0.53) 1-2 @ 9.4% (  -0.18) 0-3 @ 5.03% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 4.89% (  -0.34) 2-3 @ 2.38% (  -0.36) 0-4 @ 1.96% (  -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.91% (  -0.23) 2-4 @ 0.93% (  -0.19) Other @ 2.44% Total : 51% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 | 
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 | 
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 | 
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 | 
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 | 
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 | 
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 | 
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
