League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Grimsby Town1 - 0Newport
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Newport County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Bradford
Monday, April 1 at 1pm in League Two
Monday, April 1 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-4 Crawley
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Newport County |
42.09% ( 3.66) | 24.54% ( 0.64) | 33.36% ( -4.3) |
| Both teams to score 58.76% ( -3.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
