

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Grimsby Town | 
| 42.19% (  -0.03) | 25.39% (  0) | 32.42% (  0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 55.5% (  -0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.82% (  -0.01) | 48.18% (  0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.66% (  -0.01) | 70.33% (  0) | 
| Newport County Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.26% (  -0.02) | 22.74% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.58% (  -0.03) | 56.41% (  0.02) | 
| Grimsby Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.84% (  0.01) | 28.16% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.15% (  0.02) | 63.84% (  -0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Newport County | Draw | Grimsby Town | 
| 1-0 @ 9.48% (  -0) 2-1 @ 8.9% (  -0) 2-0 @ 7.02% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.4% (  -0) 3-0 @ 3.47% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.79% (  -0) 4-1 @ 1.63% (  -0) 4-0 @ 1.28% (  -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% (  -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.19% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.4% (  0) 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.18% (  -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.11% (  0) 1-2 @ 7.62% (  0) 0-2 @ 5.14% (  0) 1-3 @ 3.22% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.38% (  0) 0-3 @ 2.17% (  0) 1-4 @ 1.02% (  0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.42% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Walsall | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 69 | 
| 2 | Bradford CityBradford | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 66 | 
| 3 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 63 | 
| 4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 63 | 
| 5 | Notts County | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 61 | 
| 6 | Port Vale | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 61 | 
| 7 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 58 | 
| 8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 57 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 37 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 56 | 
| 10 | Salford City | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 53 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 52 | 
| 12 | Chesterfield | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 51 | 
| 13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 50 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 49 | 
| 15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 47 | 
| 16 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 46 | 
| 17 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 44 | 
| 18 | MK Dons | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 | 
| 19 | Gillingham | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 42 | 
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 40 | 
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 40 | 
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 36 | 
| 23 | Morecambe | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 30 | 
| 24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 27 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
